Slovakia is clearly the best team in the group and has 10 points in 4 matches with just 2 goals conceded. While they didn't win at Faroe Islands, 1-1, I expect a dominant win on their stadium with a clean sheet.After that draw, Slovakia will keep the focus on today's match and will play with best effort.
Reverse match finished 2-2. Netherlands didn't win any match in this group by more than 1 goal, Greece is undefeated in 4 matches. I like the visitors to get a point here, and at least not to lose by much. Greece is good defensively, conceding only 3 goals in 4 matches.
As bad as Serbia is in this nations league with 4 losses in 4 matches, Serbia didn't lose any game by more than 2 goals. At the same time Germany has only 1 win, and is yet to get a win by 3 goals. Germany won 2-0 at home against Serbia, on the road it should not be easier.
Neither team can be trusted, but I like Cleveland after a decent win at New York. Heat can't find the rhythm after the summer trades, and are yet to beat a team with playoffs ambitions this season. If Harden plays like he did two days ago in New York, Cleveland will win, even if he struggles, it will be a close match. I like the underdog here.
Grizzlies started the season very well, but slowed down since. However, this is a great spot for them as they are facing struggling Pelicans, team that lost 4 in a row, conceding 138 points or more in the last 3 games.145 point allowed to Brooklyn in the last home game looks especially bad for the Pelicans.
Match of teams with 4-6 records, so odds are close, but I like the home side. ASVEL scored 94 points or more in 4 matches in a row. Besiktas lost last 2 matches, including their very bad loss in domestic league to Karsiyaka and 16-point loss to Zalgiris.
Both teams are 4-6 in Euroleague. But I will pick against Virtus for two reasons. Anadolu Efes has home advantage which is significant for Turkish teams, and Virtus is also in terrible form right now with 4 losses in their last 5 matches. 3 of the losses came in Euroleague.
North Macedonia is going through rough times. Team lost 5 matches in a row, all by multiple goals. Last 4 losses were in this group, including 0-2 loss at home to Scotland. Must win game for the home team here, as they are 3rd in the group. Scotland by 2-3 goals today is very likely result.